summary_Oct23

The garden of forking paths…

Currently stuck proliferating options.

Covariate options

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## OGR data source with driver: ESRI Shapefile 
## Source: "/Users/mrajeev/Documents/Projects/MadaAccess/data/processed/shapefiles/mada_communes.shp", layer: "mada_communes"
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## Source: "/Users/mrajeev/Documents/Projects/MadaAccess/data/processed/shapefiles/mada_districts.shp", layer: "mada_districts"
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## Joining, by = c("date_reported", "id_ctar")

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Modeling options

Districts with & without CTAR

A Random Effect by Catchment

Models with a random intercept by catchment. May help to capture variation between clinics not explained by travel times alone. And provide more realistic estimates of vials.

Model Results

Convergence fig

DIC fig

Estimates

Predictions to Data

Predictions out-of-fit

Moramanga estimates on Mada commune and districts

Mada commune and districts estimates on Moramanga data

Burden estimates